Avoiding Armageddon: America, India, and Pakistan to the Brink and Back (Brookings FOCUS Book)

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A terrifying book with a below average volume of self-serving content expected from State Department bureaucrats "I was the only other person on the room when Riedel authoritatively explains the risks and near certainty of war, quite possibly nuclear, between Pakistan and India. Reading about the volume and variety of conflict, fostered by the surprisingly deep relationship between ISI and al Queda is sobering. The author loses his way when he suggests that dialogue, trade and India cedi A terrifying book with a below average volume of self-serving content expected from State Department bureaucrats "I was the only other person on the room when The author loses his way when he suggests that dialogue, trade and India ceding Kashmir are the path to peace.

Is he reading from Chamberlain's play book for Czechoslovakia? His notion that concession from India would 'reduce the incentive for Pakistan's nuclear weaponry' is silly. A point hammered home when the author quotes Spider-Man! Despite its conclusive flaws this is a book worth reading, particularly for anyone who's read Stephen Coll's "Ghost Wars" or William Langewiesche's, "Atomic Bazaar".

The details of Pakistan's support for al Queda and LeT alone are worth the read. Evil is abroad and trouble awaits us. Bruce provides the inside story of how US and its presidents particularly has dealt with India and Pakistan over the last 7 decade. He is fairly critical of US policies in South Asia and states categorically that none of the approaches have worked so far and its time for people in Washington to reflect on their past actions and rethink their policies. Bruce has written about a very interesting conversation that occurred between Nawaj Sharif had with Bill Clinton on 4th July during the Karg Bruce provides the inside story of how US and its presidents particularly has dealt with India and Pakistan over the last 7 decade.

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Bruce has written about a very interesting conversation that occurred between Nawaj Sharif had with Bill Clinton on 4th July during the Kargil war. Clinton averted a nuclear war in the South Asia. Bruce states that America is very good at conflict management but horrible at conflict resolution. He also proposed solution how the Kashmir issue can be resolved.

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You can choose to agree or disagree but its worth a thought. He argues that if India wants to grow to its potential, it needs peace in the region. A good read, although not as interesting as you thought it would be. Sep 13, Adithya Jain rated it really liked it Shelves: history , politics. A good book on the India-Pakistan-America triangle.

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Won't be useful if you're trying to learn India-Pak history. This is not the book for that. But this would be a useful book to study the whole thing from the American angle. And to get a first hand, natural and close account of American decision making and understanding of the whole relationship.

Nov 23, Ram Krishnan rated it it was amazing. One of the best books to read on Indo-US-Pak relationship from their colonial years to The author has given unbiased views of the ups and downs in US relationship with these countries and it is a pageturner and wonderful read.

Will recommend to anyone who wants to read the strategy of US in South Asia under various presidents. Nov 10, Umair Mir rated it really liked it. History has shown that American actions can make a bad situation worse, and it has shown only limited evidence that they can make things fundamentally better. The United States is best at conflict management, not conflict resolution. Brilliant Analysis of South Asia as a Strategic axis. The Authors effort has to be applauded for the objective piece of writing and analysis. Nov 16, Azhar Ali rated it really liked it.

Bruce once again showed us how firm grip he holdes on the international security issues. Dec 17, Farhan Shakeel added it. Jun 11, MA Deviah rated it really liked it. Another incisive look at the realities so South Asia. Jun 17, Saqib is currently reading it. This review has been hidden because it contains spoilers. To view it, click here. This is why former U. Meanwhile, through its battlefield tactical nuclear weapon TNW Hatf-IX Nasr — declaring its willingness to even detonate it on its own territory under Indian aggression — Pakistan has effectively countered any CSD design.

Any nuclear exchange, once initiated, would swiftly and inexorably escalate to the strategic level. Pakistan would be prudent not to assume otherwise as it sometimes appears to do, most recently by developing and perhaps deploying theatre nuclear weapons. What Pakistan is signaling to India and to the world is that India should not contemplate retaliation even if there is another Mumbai because Pakistan has lowered the threshold of nuclear use to the theatre level.

This is nothing short of nuclear blackmail, no different from the irresponsible behavior one witnesses in North Korea. The label on a nuclear weapon used for attacking India, strategic or tactical, is irrelevant from the Indian perspective. India has further declared nuclear retaliation not only against a territorial attack, but also against a threat to Indian forces anywhere in the world.


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This amounts to lowering the nuclear threshold to protect its forces employed under CSD. Simply put, nuclear parity causes an itch to carry-out conventional or sub-conventional warfare under the nuclear threshold. The problem is that despite being a smaller country, Pakistan is unwilling to accept Indian hegemony in the region. Due to the extremely hot climate and a history of invading forces — mostly Muslim warriors from Central Asia — the temperament of the people generally remains fractious, ego-driven, envious and suspecting towards fellow natives. They urgently need to ensure that their actions never lead to Armageddon.

It entails an understanding of the adversaries and the quantum of threat from each, the nature of warfare, domains of war, how it would be fought, and structural military reforms at various levels to meet these challenges. This is not true, because this perception is based on bean-counting of assets of both sides.

The Pakistan Army scores over the Indian Army in strategic command, control, coordination and higher directions of war. Thus, at the operational level of war, the two armies are nearly matched. Then I would have been happy.

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Then I could do what I want to do. Such a heavy-handed and brute strategy has never worked in the past nor is likely to succeed in the future. It has to be a politico-military approach that we have to adopt.

khadpogwildsane.tk First of all, Indian political leadership does not fully trust its military owing to its colonial legacy; during the two-century British rule over the Indian subcontinent, the military remained loyal and faithful to its foreign master. Such an outlook has resulted in a lack of understanding about technical and military issues among the politicians and civil bureaucracy. Later, the Indian defence minister, George Fernandes, had to publicly reprimand his army chief, General S. Second, despite boasting about its conventional military muscle, the Indian armed forces lack teeth. Moving from Soviet hardware to more sophisticated Western weaponry has been an arduous, time-consuming and frustrating exercise.

Third, the Indian armed forces do not possess internal cohesion and a sense of purposeful coordination and collaboration. Damning the Indian defence forces, Perkovich and Dalton document:. The former chief of the Indian navy, Admiral D. Furthermore, no higher defense learning institution imparts any substantive form of education to military officers on nuclear strategy and operations, and service headquarters continue to plan primarily for conventional war. The question is, how can a modern nation-state like India ensure its sovereignty and territorial integrity — to say nothing of messing around with other countries — when its own armed forces have serious structural deficiencies, distrustful attitudes and diverging operational doctrines?